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Red68
652823.3
506721.8
514421.4
Blue32
872820.8
92048.4
309810.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions734102060801001206832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.4
21.922.3
Auto7.2
Teleop12.7
End3.3
red by 2.4
8728
#30
20.80.6
20.620.0
Auto6.8
Teleop13.1
End0.9
Second
21.80.4
20.420.8
Auto8.4
Teleop11.0
End2.4
red by 11.2
3098
#18
10.60.7
11.410.7
Auto3.2
Teleop4.7
End2.7
Third
5144
#27
21.40.4
20.020.4
Auto7.4
Teleop12.3
End1.8
red by 13.1
9204
#24
8.40.6
9.08.4
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
48%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed