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Red87
92418.9
436233.5
107630.2
Blue46
439510.8
92129.0
366822.1
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8138020601001208746

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.51.3
31.432.7
Auto12.0
Teleop19.0
End2.5
red by 11.4
3668
#17
22.10.4
20.621.0
Auto9.7
Teleop9.8
End2.6
Second
30.21.3
29.430.6
Auto9.7
Teleop17.8
End2.6
red by 19.3
4395
#14
10.80.4
10.510.9
Auto6.2
Teleop1.8
End2.8
Third
9241
#28
8.91.5
7.38.9
Auto2.1
Teleop4.7
End2.0
blue by 0.1
9212
#31
9.00.5
8.59.0
Auto1.6
Teleop6.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed