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Red68
332228.0
150214.8
92095.8
Blue73
296020.1
553015.0
661525.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46660204060801001206873

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.01.3
25.727.0
Auto15.1
Teleop11.0
End2.0
red by 2.7
25.30.7
25.125.8
Auto10.3
Teleop12.8
End2.3
Second
1502
#29
14.81.5
13.815.3
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End1.2
blue by 5.3
20.10.8
18.519.3
Auto7.2
Teleop10.0
End2.9
Third
9209
#36
5.81.3
4.55.8
Auto3.8
Teleop2.2
End-0.2
blue by 9.2
5530
#12
15.00.8
13.814.6
Auto7.2
Teleop6.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned57%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed