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Red99
514421.4
30226.7
332228.0
Blue77
296020.1
872820.8
233722.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions836520401001201409977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.5
27.027.4
Auto15.1
Teleop11.0
End2.0
red by 5.4
2337
#13
22.70.4
21.822.2
Auto10.2
Teleop12.1
End0.4
Second
302
#6
26.70.5
25.726.1
Auto5.8
Teleop16.9
End4.0
red by 5.9
8728
#30
20.80.4
20.020.4
Auto6.8
Teleop13.1
End0.9
Third
5144
#27
21.40.5
20.420.8
Auto7.4
Teleop12.3
End1.8
red by 1.3
20.10.4
19.319.6
Auto7.2
Teleop10.0
End2.9