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Red73
150214.8
661525.3
107630.2
Blue71
432715.8
553015.0
634418.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions844802040601001201407371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.0
30.630.6
Auto9.7
Teleop17.8
End2.6
red by 12.0
6344
#11
18.20.5
17.818.3
Auto4.6
Teleop10.6
End3.0
Second
25.30.0
25.825.8
Auto10.3
Teleop12.8
End2.3
red by 9.5
4327
#25
15.80.5
15.415.9
Auto5.4
Teleop9.8
End0.6
Third
1502
#29
14.80.0
15.315.3
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End1.2
blue by 0.2
5530
#12
15.00.5
14.615.1
Auto7.2
Teleop6.8
End1.1