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Red81
652823.3
506721.8
83008.6
Blue75
86219.4
366822.1
570818.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55642040801001208175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.5
22.322.7
Auto7.2
Teleop12.7
End3.3
red by 1.2
3668
#17
22.10.4
21.021.4
Auto9.7
Teleop9.8
End2.6
Second
21.80.5
20.821.3
Auto8.4
Teleop11.0
End2.4
red by 2.4
862
#16
19.40.4
18.418.8
Auto6.2
Teleop10.9
End2.3
Third
8300
#23
8.60.5
7.68.1
Auto0.7
Teleop8.2
End-0.3
blue by 9.7
5708
#10
18.20.4
17.217.6
Auto8.3
Teleop9.0
End0.9