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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2245010304050607080661

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8.82.1
9.06.9
Auto3.6
Teleop3.8
End1.5
blue by 12.7
21.51.2
15.917.1
Auto10.0
Teleop7.8
End3.6
Second
9203
#16
6.62.1
7.55.4
Auto2.6
Teleop2.9
End1.1
blue by 13.2
19.81.2
12.013.2
Auto6.2
Teleop10.8
End2.8
Third
9759
#37
0.02.1
6.44.3
Auto0.3
Teleop-1.0
End0.7
blue by 10.8
4810
#22
10.81.2
10.311.5
Auto5.0
Teleop3.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned