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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions472701020406070804222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.12.3
19.317.0
Auto6.0
Teleop10.9
End2.2
red by 7.3
6073
#21
11.81.6
9.17.5
Auto5.9
Teleop4.7
End1.2
Second
9106
#14
5.82.3
10.68.3
Auto2.4
Teleop2.2
End1.2
blue by 4.4
9703
#15
10.31.6
8.77.0
Auto5.8
Teleop3.4
End1.0
Third
5623
#32
4.82.3
10.68.3
Auto1.7
Teleop1.7
End1.5
blue by 0.8
9542
#17
5.61.6
8.77.1
Auto3.8
Teleop0.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned