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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314801020406070801842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6078
#23
12.11.3
15.013.7
Auto4.0
Teleop6.6
End1.6
blue by 11.8
23.90.5
14.113.6
Auto7.7
Teleop13.9
End2.3
Second
1528
#26
4.71.3
6.04.7
Auto1.1
Teleop3.5
End0.2
blue by 12.9
17.60.5
18.317.8
Auto6.4
Teleop10.1
End1.2
Third
9238
#34
1.41.3
8.87.5
Auto0.8
Teleop0.2
End0.4
blue by 8.7
10.10.5
8.98.4
Auto3.6
Teleop5.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed