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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3141010205060701147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3658
#28
9.42.1
9.67.5
Auto3.3
Teleop4.3
End1.8
blue by 5.1
3767
#11
14.50.7
14.515.2
Auto6.2
Teleop7.5
End0.8
Second
9207
#19
8.02.1
12.310.2
Auto2.7
Teleop4.7
End0.7
blue by 6.0
3536
#24
14.10.7
14.415.1
Auto2.8
Teleop10.1
End1.1
Third
7811
#36
1.22.1
7.65.6
Auto0.9
Teleop-0.3
End0.7
blue by 4.9
9743
#35
6.20.7
7.07.7
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed