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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions204604060801955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7256
#12
8.70.2
7.87.5
Auto2.4
Teleop5.2
End1.1
blue by 20.4
29.11.6
18.119.8
Auto9.5
Teleop17.5
End2.0
Second
5248
#13
7.90.2
6.96.6
Auto3.3
Teleop3.3
End1.3
blue by 5.0
9763
#20
12.91.6
9.711.3
Auto4.2
Teleop6.8
End1.8
Third
7203
#29
2.90.2
6.66.4
Auto1.5
Teleop0.6
End0.8
blue by 6.1
8126
#33
9.01.6
10.412.0
Auto2.6
Teleop5.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed