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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30341520254045501625

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5256
#18
14.51.3
10.79.4
Auto3.1
Teleop10.5
End0.9
red by 1.4
4327
#10
13.10.6
12.311.7
Auto5.6
Teleop7.0
End0.6
Second
9215
#27
13.91.3
10.39.0
Auto4.7
Teleop6.7
End2.4
red by 3.7
858
#25
10.10.6
9.99.3
Auto5.4
Teleop3.8
End0.9
Third
9239
#31
5.91.3
6.65.3
Auto3.2
Teleop1.9
End0.8
blue by 0.7
9203
#16
6.60.6
8.17.5
Auto2.6
Teleop2.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed