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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403310203050603727

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3767
#11
14.50.5
15.014.5
Auto6.2
Teleop7.5
End0.8
blue by 5.4
19.80.4
12.412.0
Auto6.2
Teleop10.8
End2.8
Second
6073
#21
11.80.5
9.69.1
Auto5.9
Teleop4.7
End1.2
red by 6.2
9542
#17
5.60.4
9.18.7
Auto3.8
Teleop0.7
End1.0
Third
4810
#22
10.80.5
10.810.3
Auto5.0
Teleop3.6
End2.2
red by 9.4
9238
#34
1.40.4
9.38.8
Auto0.8
Teleop0.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed