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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34331020304050601013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7658
#30
8.62.5
11.58.9
Auto3.2
Teleop3.3
End2.0
blue by 1.6
10.12.7
11.68.9
Auto3.6
Teleop5.3
End1.3
Second
7203
#29
2.92.5
9.16.6
Auto1.5
Teleop0.6
End0.8
blue by 4.9
5248
#13
7.92.7
9.66.9
Auto3.3
Teleop3.3
End1.3
Third
7811
#36
1.22.5
10.27.6
Auto0.9
Teleop-0.3
End0.7
red by 1.2
9759
#37
0.03.7
2.76.4
Auto0.3
Teleop-1.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed