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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40511020306070801950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.92.0
16.114.1
Auto7.7
Teleop13.9
End2.3
red by 2.4
21.50.6
15.415.9
Auto10.0
Teleop7.8
End3.6
Second
8126
#33
9.02.0
12.410.4
Auto2.6
Teleop5.1
End1.3
blue by 8.6
17.60.6
17.718.3
Auto6.4
Teleop10.1
End1.2
Third
9239
#31
5.92.0
8.66.6
Auto3.2
Teleop1.9
End0.8
blue by 2.1
9207
#19
8.00.6
11.712.3
Auto2.7
Teleop4.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed