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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473702060801004527

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.11.3
19.418.1
Auto9.5
Teleop17.5
End2.0
red by 15.2
9215
#27
13.91.4
11.710.3
Auto4.7
Teleop6.7
End2.4
Second
8.81.3
10.29.0
Auto3.6
Teleop3.8
End1.5
blue by 0.6
3658
#28
9.41.4
11.09.6
Auto3.3
Teleop4.3
End1.8
Third
5623
#32
4.81.3
11.810.6
Auto1.7
Teleop1.7
End1.5
blue by 1.0
9106
#14
5.81.4
12.010.6
Auto2.4
Teleop2.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed