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Red45
442219.1
525614.5
976312.9
Blue33
607812.1
970310.3
432713.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414220305060704533

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.10.5
18.719.3
Auto6.0
Teleop10.9
End2.2
red by 6.0
4327
#10
13.10.5
12.812.3
Auto5.6
Teleop7.0
End0.6
Second
5256
#18
14.50.5
10.210.7
Auto3.1
Teleop10.5
End0.9
red by 2.4
6078
#23
12.10.5
15.515.0
Auto4.0
Teleop6.6
End1.6
Third
9763
#20
12.95.4
15.19.7
Auto4.2
Teleop6.8
End1.8
red by 2.6
9703
#15
10.30.2
8.98.7
Auto5.8
Teleop3.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed