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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions472201030406070805434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.11.0
19.820.8
Auto9.5
Teleop17.5
End2.0
red by 17.3
6073
#21
11.80.4
7.57.1
Auto5.9
Teleop4.7
End1.2
Second
4327
#10
13.11.0
11.712.7
Auto5.6
Teleop7.0
End0.6
red by 5.1
9207
#19
8.00.4
10.29.8
Auto2.7
Teleop4.7
End0.7
Third
9106
#14
5.81.0
8.39.3
Auto2.4
Teleop2.2
End1.2
blue by 0.1
9239
#31
5.90.4
5.34.9
Auto3.2
Teleop1.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed