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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions422201030506070803713

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.2
17.117.3
Auto10.0
Teleop7.8
End3.6
red by 11.4
858
#25
10.11.0
9.38.3
Auto5.4
Teleop3.8
End0.9
Second
8126
#33
9.00.2
12.012.2
Auto2.6
Teleop5.1
End1.3
red by 7.6
9238
#34
1.41.0
7.56.5
Auto0.8
Teleop0.2
End0.4
Third
7203
#29
2.90.2
6.46.5
Auto1.5
Teleop0.6
End0.8
red by 1.7
7811
#36
1.21.0
5.64.5
Auto0.9
Teleop-0.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed