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Red31
97590.0
438117.6
970310.3
Blue45
376714.5
445310.1
860818.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3141010205060703145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.60.2
17.818.0
Auto6.4
Teleop10.1
End1.2
blue by 0.7
18.40.4
12.613.0
Auto8.5
Teleop7.1
End2.8
Second
9703
#15
10.30.2
7.07.2
Auto5.8
Teleop3.4
End1.0
blue by 4.2
3767
#11
14.50.4
15.215.6
Auto6.2
Teleop7.5
End0.8
Third
9759
#37
0.00.2
4.34.5
Auto0.3
Teleop-1.0
End0.7
blue by 10.1
10.10.4
8.48.8
Auto3.6
Teleop5.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed