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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353210204050604560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.91.5
13.615.1
Auto7.7
Teleop13.9
End2.3
red by 4.1
19.83.4
13.216.6
Auto6.2
Teleop10.8
End2.8
Second
9763
#20
12.91.5
11.312.8
Auto4.2
Teleop6.8
End1.8
blue by 1.7
5256
#18
14.53.4
9.412.8
Auto3.1
Teleop10.5
End0.9
Third
5248
#13
7.91.5
6.68.1
Auto3.3
Teleop3.3
End1.3
blue by 1.0
8.83.4
6.910.2
Auto3.6
Teleop3.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed