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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3138010205060703729

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.10.9
17.017.9
Auto6.0
Teleop10.9
End2.2
red by 5.0
3536
#24
14.10.7
15.114.4
Auto2.8
Teleop10.1
End1.1
Second
9239
#31
5.90.9
4.95.8
Auto3.2
Teleop1.9
End0.8
blue by 2.6
7658
#30
8.60.7
8.47.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.3
End2.0
Third
9542
#17
5.60.9
7.18.0
Auto3.8
Teleop0.7
End1.0
blue by 2.4
9207
#19
8.00.7
9.89.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed