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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2942010205060703858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.6
17.317.9
Auto10.0
Teleop7.8
End3.6
blue by 7.6
29.12.4
20.823.2
Auto9.5
Teleop17.5
End2.0
Second
9203
#16
6.60.6
3.64.2
Auto2.6
Teleop2.9
End1.1
blue by 5.1
6073
#21
11.82.4
7.19.4
Auto5.9
Teleop4.7
End1.2
Third
9743
#35
6.20.6
6.77.3
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End0.5
blue by 4.0
10.12.4
8.811.2
Auto3.6
Teleop5.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed