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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25380102030506070801830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
#25
10.11.2
8.37.0
Auto5.4
Teleop3.8
End0.9
blue by 7.5
17.60.3
18.017.7
Auto6.4
Teleop10.1
End1.2
Second
9106
#14
5.81.2
9.38.1
Auto2.4
Teleop2.2
End1.2
blue by 5.0
4810
#22
10.80.3
9.79.4
Auto5.0
Teleop3.6
End2.2
Third
7203
#29
2.91.2
6.55.3
Auto1.5
Teleop0.6
End0.8
blue by 1.8
1528
#26
4.70.3
5.14.8
Auto1.1
Teleop3.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed