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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions213401030405060701322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9703
#15
10.31.4
7.25.9
Auto5.8
Teleop3.4
End1.0
blue by 2.8
4327
#10
13.11.4
12.711.3
Auto5.6
Teleop7.0
End0.6
Second
9743
#35
6.21.4
7.36.0
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End0.5
blue by 2.7
8.81.4
12.010.6
Auto3.6
Teleop3.8
End1.5
Third
9239
#31
5.91.4
5.84.4
Auto3.2
Teleop1.9
End0.8
red by 1.2
1528
#26
4.71.4
4.83.4
Auto1.1
Teleop3.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed