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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332701020405060703127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.40.0
14.814.7
Auto8.5
Teleop7.1
End2.8
red by 6.6
6073
#21
11.80.2
9.49.6
Auto5.9
Teleop4.7
End1.2
Second
9207
#19
8.00.0
9.19.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.7
End0.7
blue by 1.4
3658
#28
9.40.2
7.98.1
Auto3.3
Teleop4.3
End1.8
Third
7203
#29
2.90.0
5.35.3
Auto1.5
Teleop0.6
End0.8
blue by 1.9
5623
#32
4.80.2
7.88.0
Auto1.7
Teleop1.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed