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Red69
335729.1
95425.6
85810.1
Blue56
525614.5
607812.1
76588.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4138203050606956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.11.9
23.225.1
Auto9.5
Teleop17.5
End2.0
red by 14.5
5256
#18
14.50.4
13.413.0
Auto3.1
Teleop10.5
End0.9
Second
858
#25
10.11.9
7.09.0
Auto5.4
Teleop3.8
End0.9
blue by 2.0
6078
#23
12.10.4
13.713.3
Auto4.0
Teleop6.6
End1.6
Third
9542
#17
5.61.9
6.48.3
Auto3.8
Teleop0.7
End1.0
blue by 3.0
7658
#30
8.60.4
7.77.3
Auto3.2
Teleop3.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed