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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22470103040607080764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10.11.8
11.49.6
Auto3.6
Teleop5.3
End1.3
blue by 11.4
21.51.6
17.519.1
Auto10.0
Teleop7.8
End3.6
Second
9106
#14
5.81.8
8.36.5
Auto2.4
Teleop2.2
End1.2
blue by 8.7
5256
#18
14.51.6
13.014.6
Auto3.1
Teleop10.5
End0.9
Third
7811
#36
1.21.8
3.11.3
Auto0.9
Teleop-0.3
End0.7
blue by 8.9
858
#25
10.11.6
9.010.6
Auto5.4
Teleop3.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed