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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4331010205060702942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.60.9
17.917.0
Auto6.4
Teleop10.1
End1.2
red by 3.6
3536
#24
14.10.8
13.714.5
Auto2.8
Teleop10.1
End1.1
Second
4327
#10
13.10.9
11.310.4
Auto5.6
Teleop7.0
End0.6
red by 2.3
4810
#22
10.80.8
10.611.4
Auto5.0
Teleop3.6
End2.2
Third
5623
#32
4.80.9
8.07.1
Auto1.7
Teleop1.7
End1.5
red by 1.9
7203
#29
2.90.8
5.36.1
Auto1.5
Teleop0.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed