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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25255101520303540451125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8.81.4
10.69.3
Auto3.6
Teleop3.8
End1.5
red by 0.3
7658
#30
8.60.3
7.37.6
Auto3.2
Teleop3.3
End2.0
Second
9743
#35
6.21.4
6.04.6
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End0.5
blue by 1.7
5248
#13
7.90.3
6.77.0
Auto3.3
Teleop3.3
End1.3
Third
9238
#34
1.41.4
6.75.3
Auto0.8
Teleop0.2
End0.4
blue by 4.2
9542
#17
5.60.3
8.38.6
Auto3.8
Teleop0.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed