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Red57
970310.3
335729.1
661819.8
Blue41
607311.8
81269.0
860818.4
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55362060805741

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.11.0
25.126.1
Auto9.5
Teleop17.5
End2.0
red by 10.7
18.40.1
14.714.8
Auto8.5
Teleop7.1
End2.8
Second
19.81.0
16.917.9
Auto6.2
Teleop10.8
End2.8
red by 8.0
6073
#21
11.80.1
9.69.7
Auto5.9
Teleop4.7
End1.2
Third
9703
#15
10.31.0
5.96.9
Auto5.8
Teleop3.4
End1.0
red by 1.2
8126
#33
9.00.1
10.910.9
Auto2.6
Teleop5.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed