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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37220103040506070288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5256
#18
14.50.4
14.614.3
Auto3.1
Teleop10.5
End0.9
red by 4.4
10.11.5
9.68.2
Auto3.6
Teleop5.3
End1.3
Second
4810
#22
10.80.4
11.411.0
Auto5.0
Teleop3.6
End2.2
red by 4.7
9743
#35
6.21.5
4.63.1
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End0.5
Third
9238
#34
1.40.4
5.34.9
Auto0.8
Teleop0.2
End0.4
blue by 3.4
5623
#32
4.81.5
7.15.6
Auto1.7
Teleop1.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed