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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392601020305060504

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3536
#24
14.10.1
14.514.6
Auto2.8
Teleop10.1
End1.1
red by 5.0
8126
#33
9.02.3
10.98.6
Auto2.6
Teleop5.1
End1.3
Second
6078
#23
12.10.1
12.512.6
Auto4.0
Teleop6.6
End1.6
red by 4.1
9207
#19
8.02.3
7.75.3
Auto2.7
Teleop4.7
End0.7
Third
5248
#13
7.90.1
7.07.1
Auto3.3
Teleop3.3
End1.3
red by 2.0
9106
#14
5.82.3
6.54.2
Auto2.4
Teleop2.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed