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Red28
661819.8
36589.4
85810.1
Blue44
72568.7
438117.6
335729.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395820802844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.81.1
17.916.8
Auto6.2
Teleop10.8
End2.8
blue by 9.3
29.10.7
26.125.4
Auto9.5
Teleop17.5
End2.0
Second
858
#25
10.11.1
10.69.5
Auto5.4
Teleop3.8
End0.9
blue by 7.5
17.60.7
17.016.3
Auto6.4
Teleop10.1
End1.2
Third
3658
#28
9.41.1
9.48.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.3
End1.8
red by 0.7
7256
#12
8.70.7
7.26.5
Auto2.4
Teleop5.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed47%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed