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Red40
432713.1
607311.8
921513.9
Blue48
515223.9
442219.1
76588.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31510204060804048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9215
#27
13.91.1
10.111.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.7
End2.4
blue by 10.1
23.90.5
18.118.6
Auto7.7
Teleop13.9
End2.3
Second
4327
#10
13.11.1
10.411.5
Auto5.6
Teleop7.0
End0.6
blue by 6.0
19.10.5
18.218.6
Auto6.0
Teleop10.9
End2.2
Third
6073
#21
11.81.1
9.710.8
Auto5.9
Teleop4.7
End1.2
red by 3.2
7658
#30
8.60.5
7.68.0
Auto3.2
Teleop3.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed