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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions542104060806820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.2
19.119.0
Auto10.0
Teleop7.8
End3.6
red by 8.6
9763
#20
12.90.9
13.012.1
Auto4.2
Teleop6.8
End1.8
Second
3767
#11
14.50.2
16.816.6
Auto6.2
Teleop7.5
End0.8
red by 9.8
1528
#26
4.70.9
3.83.0
Auto1.1
Teleop3.5
End0.2
Third
9542
#17
5.60.2
8.68.4
Auto3.8
Teleop0.7
End1.0
red by 2.7
7203
#29
2.90.9
6.15.2
Auto1.5
Teleop0.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed