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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3939253035452446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.11.2
25.424.2
Auto9.5
Teleop17.5
End2.0
red by 9.3
19.81.1
16.817.9
Auto6.2
Teleop10.8
End2.8
Second
7658
#30
8.61.2
8.06.8
Auto3.2
Teleop3.3
End2.0
blue by 5.5
3536
#24
14.11.1
14.615.7
Auto2.8
Teleop10.1
End1.1
Third
9759
#37
0.01.3
2.31.0
Auto0.3
Teleop-1.0
End0.7
blue by 5.8
9106
#14
5.81.1
4.25.3
Auto2.4
Teleop2.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed