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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28250102040506070802930

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.90.4
18.619.0
Auto7.7
Teleop13.9
End2.3
red by 10.8
4327
#10
13.10.2
11.511.7
Auto5.6
Teleop7.0
End0.6
Second
5623
#32
4.80.4
5.66.0
Auto1.7
Teleop1.7
End1.5
blue by 3.0
5248
#13
7.90.2
7.17.4
Auto3.3
Teleop3.3
End1.3
Third
7811
#36
1.20.4
0.71.2
Auto0.9
Teleop-0.3
End0.7
blue by 4.7
9239
#31
5.90.2
4.24.4
Auto3.2
Teleop1.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed