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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382801020506070518

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.51.9
19.020.8
Auto10.0
Teleop7.8
End3.6
red by 7.0
3767
#11
14.51.9
16.614.7
Auto6.2
Teleop7.5
End0.8
Second
9703
#15
10.32.0
7.79.7
Auto5.8
Teleop3.4
End1.0
red by 3.6
9203
#16
6.61.9
4.92.9
Auto2.6
Teleop2.9
End1.1
Third
7256
#12
8.72.0
6.58.5
Auto2.4
Teleop5.2
End1.1
red by 7.3
9238
#34
1.42.0
4.92.9
Auto0.8
Teleop0.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed