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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193601030405060701625

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6073
#21
11.80.3
10.810.5
Auto5.9
Teleop4.7
End1.2
blue by 0.4
6078
#23
12.11.1
12.611.5
Auto4.0
Teleop6.6
End1.6
Second
9743
#35
6.20.3
3.12.8
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End0.5
blue by 4.0
858
#25
10.11.1
9.58.4
Auto5.4
Teleop3.8
End0.9
Third
7203
#29
2.90.3
5.24.9
Auto1.5
Teleop0.6
End0.8
blue by 5.9
8.81.1
8.77.5
Auto3.6
Teleop3.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed