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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1846010304050607080781

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3536
#24
14.11.2
15.714.5
Auto2.8
Teleop10.1
End1.1
blue by 15.0
29.13.1
24.227.3
Auto9.5
Teleop17.5
End2.0
Second
9238
#34
1.41.3
2.91.6
Auto0.8
Teleop0.2
End0.4
blue by 12.4
9215
#27
13.93.4
11.214.6
Auto4.7
Teleop6.7
End2.4
Third
9759
#37
0.01.3
1.0-0.3
Auto0.3
Teleop-1.0
End0.7
blue by 6.6
9203
#16
6.63.1
2.96.1
Auto2.6
Teleop2.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned