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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252701020405060702134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6078
#23
12.10.7
11.510.8
Auto4.0
Teleop6.6
End1.6
blue by 2.3
3767
#11
14.50.4
14.715.2
Auto6.2
Teleop7.5
End0.8
Second
9207
#19
8.00.7
5.65.0
Auto2.7
Teleop4.7
End0.7
blue by 0.7
7256
#12
8.70.5
8.59.0
Auto2.4
Teleop5.2
End1.1
Third
5623
#32
4.80.7
6.05.3
Auto1.7
Teleop1.7
End1.5
red by 3.6
7811
#36
1.20.4
1.21.6
Auto0.9
Teleop-0.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed