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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343210203040502131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.61.4
17.215.8
Auto6.4
Teleop10.1
End1.2
red by 3.1
5256
#18
14.50.5
14.614.0
Auto3.1
Teleop10.5
End0.9
Second
9542
#17
5.61.4
8.77.3
Auto3.8
Teleop0.7
End1.0
blue by 4.7
9703
#15
10.30.6
9.79.1
Auto5.8
Teleop3.4
End1.0
Third
7203
#29
2.91.4
4.93.5
Auto1.5
Teleop0.6
End0.8
blue by 2.9
9106
#14
5.80.5
5.34.7
Auto2.4
Teleop2.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed