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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42331020506070804543

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.3
20.821.1
Auto10.0
Teleop7.8
End3.6
red by 2.4
19.10.2
19.519.8
Auto6.0
Teleop10.9
End2.2
Second
10.10.3
8.99.3
Auto3.6
Teleop5.3
End1.3
red by 2.3
5248
#13
7.90.2
7.47.6
Auto3.3
Teleop3.3
End1.3
Third
7658
#30
8.60.3
6.87.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.3
End2.0
red by 3.9
1528
#26
4.70.2
3.73.9
Auto1.1
Teleop3.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned