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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35250204060803238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.40.5
16.215.7
Auto8.5
Teleop7.1
End2.8
red by 5.3
4327
#10
13.10.8
11.712.6
Auto5.6
Teleop7.0
End0.6
Second
9215
#27
13.90.5
14.614.0
Auto4.7
Teleop6.7
End2.4
red by 4.8
8126
#33
9.00.8
9.310.1
Auto2.6
Teleop5.1
End1.3
Third
9759
#37
0.00.5
-0.3-0.9
Auto0.3
Teleop-1.0
End0.7
blue by 6.1
9743
#35
6.20.8
2.83.6
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed