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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222604060803724

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9763
#20
12.91.0
13.714.7
Auto4.2
Teleop6.8
End1.8
blue by 1.7
5256
#18
14.50.1
14.014.1
Auto3.1
Teleop10.5
End0.9
Second
9207
#19
8.01.0
5.06.0
Auto2.7
Teleop4.7
End0.7
red by 3.2
5623
#32
4.80.1
5.35.4
Auto1.7
Teleop1.7
End1.5
Third
9238
#34
1.41.1
1.62.7
Auto0.8
Teleop0.2
End0.4
blue by 3.3
1528
#26
4.70.1
3.94.0
Auto1.1
Teleop3.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed