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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40350102030506070805739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.41.9
15.717.6
Auto8.5
Teleop7.1
End2.8
red by 0.7
17.60.3
15.815.5
Auto6.4
Teleop10.1
End1.2
Second
4327
#10
13.12.1
12.614.7
Auto5.6
Teleop7.0
End0.6
red by 4.1
8126
#33
9.00.3
10.19.9
Auto2.6
Teleop5.1
End1.3
Third
7658
#30
8.61.9
7.19.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.3
End2.0
red by 1.9
9203
#16
6.60.3
6.15.8
Auto2.6
Teleop2.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed