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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42312060804219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.10.5
27.327.8
Auto9.5
Teleop17.5
End2.0
red by 18.3
4810
#22
10.81.0
13.012.0
Auto5.0
Teleop3.6
End2.2
Second
5248
#13
7.90.5
7.68.1
Auto3.3
Teleop3.3
End1.3
blue by 1.5
3658
#28
9.41.0
9.48.4
Auto3.3
Teleop4.3
End1.8
Third
7811
#36
1.20.5
1.62.1
Auto0.9
Teleop-0.3
End0.7
blue by 4.4
9542
#17
5.61.0
7.36.4
Auto3.8
Teleop0.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed