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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5670204080100463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.3
19.619.3
Auto6.2
Teleop10.8
End2.8
red by 15.0
5623
#32
4.80.8
5.44.6
Auto1.7
Teleop1.7
End1.5
Second
19.10.3
19.319.0
Auto6.0
Teleop10.9
End2.2
red by 16.2
7203
#29
2.90.8
4.23.4
Auto1.5
Teleop0.6
End0.8
Third
9203
#16
6.60.3
5.85.5
Auto2.6
Teleop2.9
End1.1
red by 5.2
9238
#34
1.40.8
2.71.9
Auto0.8
Teleop0.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed