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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301501020405060704125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6073
#21
11.80.1
12.112.2
Auto5.9
Teleop4.7
End1.2
blue by 2.8
5256
#18
14.50.4
14.114.5
Auto3.1
Teleop10.5
End0.9
Second
7256
#12
8.70.1
9.19.2
Auto2.4
Teleop5.2
End1.1
red by 7.5
7811
#36
1.20.4
2.12.5
Auto0.9
Teleop-0.3
End0.7
Third
1528
#26
4.70.1
4.04.1
Auto1.1
Teleop3.5
End0.2
red by 4.7
9759
#37
0.00.4
-1.0-0.6
Auto0.3
Teleop-1.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed